Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 0
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
JUV
4 - 0
ACL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 0
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 0
VNZ
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
JUV
6 - 2
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |