Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ACL
3 - 2
ROM
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
INT
1 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 1
TRI
59%
22%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOD
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
JUV
0 - 1
ACL
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |