Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 3
TRI
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
ROM
0 - 0
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
USA
5 - 3
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
GEN
1 - 1
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
JUV
6 - 1
LAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
INT
2 - 0
JUV
59%
20%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
JUV
4 - 1
USA
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
TOR
2 - 1
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |