Roma vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
RMA
4 - 2
ROM
71%
18%
12%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 1
ROM
30%
27%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ROM
2 - 2
LEC
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MES
4 - 3
ROM
20%
27%
54%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
ROM
0 - 3
DYN
66%
20%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
AND
1 - 3
INT
45%
25%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
INT
2 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 3
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
INT
1 - 1
PAL
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
INT
2 - 0
BRE
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |