Roma vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROM
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 0
NAP
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 2
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
ROM
3 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
INT
6 - 2
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
69%
17%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |