Roma vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1942 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ROM
7 - 0
ACL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
TOR
2 - 2
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ROM
0 - 0
TRI
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
VNZ
0 - 1
ROM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1942 |
INT
1 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
JUV
4 - 0
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
INT
0 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
INT
1 - 0
MOD
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |