Roma vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 1
ROM
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ROM
2 - 2
NAP
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
GEN
0 - 0
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ROM
3 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ROM
55%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
TRI
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 1
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
BOL
5 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |