Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
Roma vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
ROM
1 - 0
CES
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
NAP
1 - 3
ROM
40%
29%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
ROM
2 - 1
ASC
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
IPS
3 - 1
ROM
68%
20%
13%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
SAM
1 - 0
ROM
25%
30%
45%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
NOR
0 - 0
SOU
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
OIF
2 - 1
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
NOR
0 - 4
MFF
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
SOU
2 - 2
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ATV
0 - 2
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |