Champions League 1/16
Global 4-2
Roma vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1983 |
ROM
2 - 0
PIS
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
ROM
4 - 2
PAD
95%
4%
1%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
ROM
2 - 0
ATL
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ROM
3%
16%
81%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
GÖT
6 - 1
MFF
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
HIF
3 - 0
GÖT
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
GÖT
2 - 0
ORG
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
AIK
1 - 0
GÖT
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1983 |
HÄC
0 - 1
GÖT
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |