Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 11-5
Roma vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1961 |
ROM
0 - 2
INT
51%
21%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
SAM
3 - 2
ROM
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 0
BOL
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 6
FIO
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 0
LEC
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
TLA
6 - 1
HIB
60%
18%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
ROM
3 - 3
HIB
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
HIB
4 - 0
CLY
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
HIB
2 - 2
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1961 |
GLA
1 - 0
HIB
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |