Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 11-5
Roma vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
HIB
2 - 2
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 1
CAT
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
JUV
3 - 0
ROM
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
PAD
0 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
HIB
4 - 0
CLY
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
HIB
2 - 2
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1961 |
GLA
1 - 0
HIB
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
DUN
4 - 2
HIB
52%
20%
28%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
HIB
2 - 1
MHE
51%
21%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |