Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 5-1
Roma vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.5%
6.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 0
MES
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
JUV
3 - 1
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
HER
1 - 3
ROM
20%
21%
59%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
HER
1 - 3
EIN
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
BVB
7 - 2
HER
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
HER
1 - 3
ROM
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 84 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
HER
1 - 2
EBT
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
HSV
5 - 1
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 78 | 46 | +1 |