Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 7-4
Roma vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
EMP
1 - 3
ROM
24%
27%
49%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
ROM
0 - 3
UDI
61%
21%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
PRG
2 - 0
ROM
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
ATL
0 - 4
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SAL
2 - 0
VER
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
VER
3 - 0
CAT
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CAT
0 - 1
VER
12%
21%
68%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
VER
1 - 2
PAR
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
LAZ
4 - 1
VER
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |