Roma vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
BAR
2 - 1
ROM
24%
28%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
ROM
3 - 0
USC
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 1
ROM
22%
27%
52%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
PAR
3 - 1
ROM
22%
29%
49%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
JUV
2 - 0
VER
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
VER
0 - 1
ACM
17%
28%
55%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
ATL
0 - 0
VER
52%
28%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
VER
1 - 0
ASC
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1991 |
ACM
1 - 1
VER
75%
18%
7%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |