Roma vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASC
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 0
ROM
43%
30%
27%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
NAP
1 - 0
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
VER
0 - 1
TOR
33%
31%
37%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 1
VER
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VER
1 - 3
ACM
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 1
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |