Roma vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
GEN
2 - 1
ROM
40%
30%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
16%
27%
57%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
ROM
2 - 1
BOL
42%
30%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
VER
1 - 1
VIC
53%
27%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
CES
1 - 0
VER
45%
30%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
VER
1 - 3
INT
22%
28%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FIO
2 - 1
VER
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |