Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
SAM
0 - 2
ROM
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1964 |
ROM
3 - 1
KOL
59%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
CAT
0 - 0
ROM
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ROM
2 - 1
MAN
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
CAT
5 - 3
GEN
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1964 |
INT
1 - 0
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 2
BOL
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
JUV
0 - 0
GEN
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |