Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 4
ROM
73%
15%
13%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
TOR
2 - 2
ROM
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
ROM
2 - 2
FIO
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 1
BOL
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
ROM
10 - 1
ALT
73%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
GEN
5 - 0
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
FIO
5 - 0
GEN
73%
16%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
CAT
3 - 1
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |