Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1959 |
UNI
2 - 0
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
UDI
0 - 0
ROM
50%
23%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ROM
3 - 0
LAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ROM
8 - 0
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
GEN
3 - 0
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
GEN
2 - 1
PAD
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
UDI
4 - 0
GEN
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |