Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
ROM
0 - 0
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
NOV
3 - 1
ROM
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
NAP
0 - 0
ROM
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ROM
3 - 0
JUV
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
ROM
2 - 2
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 1
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
FAN
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEN
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
GEN
0 - 0
TRE
62%
21%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |