Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
JUV
3 - 1
ROM
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
GEN
2 - 1
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
LIV
2 - 2
GEN
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
GEN
2 - 0
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
74%
16%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |