Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1936 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 1
PAL
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
USA
1 - 0
ROM
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
38%
26%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
ROM
1 - 0
BRE
70%
17%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
GEN
1 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
INT
3 - 0
GEN
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 2
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
FIO
2 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
GEN
0 - 2
TOR
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |