Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 6
ROM
10%
19%
71%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
ROM
2 - 2
INT
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
ROM
2 - 1
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 3
ROM
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
ROM
2 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
INT
0 - 0
FIO
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 3
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 1
VER
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAG
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |