Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AEK
1 - 2
ROM
13%
20%
67%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 3
FEN
63%
20%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
WIE
1 - 4
ROM
8%
18%
74%
|
89 | 37 | 52 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ROM
5 - 0
SVE
97%
3%
0%
|
89 | 23 | 66 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
RMA
9%
15%
76%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
BET
1 - 2
FIO
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 2
FIO
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
FIO
23%
28%
50%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
FIO
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |