Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
PES
0 - 0
ROM
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
ROM
0 - 2
ACM
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
ROM
0 - 2
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
INT
4 - 2
ROM
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
ROM
1 - 0
EMP
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
FIO
1 - 0
ASC
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
INT
3 - 0
FIO
66%
22%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
FIO
0 - 0
PIS
66%
21%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
FIO
3 - 1
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |