Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
UDI
2 - 1
ROM
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
ROM
2 - 1
EMP
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
NAP
0 - 0
ROM
40%
29%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROM
19%
29%
51%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 1
ASC
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 2
ACM
49%
28%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
VER
2 - 2
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
FIO
1 - 2
COM
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
75%
16%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |