Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
UDI
0 - 2
ROM
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAG
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
ROM
0 - 0
FIO
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
FCC
1 - 1
ROM
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 0
INT
47%
28%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
43%
30%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
FIO
1 - 1
COM
68%
22%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
ROM
0 - 0
FIO
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CAG
0 - 0
FIO
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
FIO
1 - 0
BRE
68%
22%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |