Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
NAP
0 - 2
ROM
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
51%
27%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
2 - 1
ROM
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
51%
27%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
TOR
3 - 0
ROM
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
TOR
1 - 0
FIO
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 1
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
2 - 1
ROM
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 1
TOR
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |