Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
SAM
1 - 0
ROM
43%
29%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
VIC
0 - 1
ROM
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
VER
1 - 1
ROM
38%
29%
32%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
ROM
3 - 1
TOR
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
FCC
1 - 1
ROM
25%
31%
44%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
FIO
2 - 0
ACM
37%
29%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
42%
30%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
FIO
1 - 0
VAR
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |