Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ROM
0 - 2
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LAZ
0 - 3
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 2
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
UDI
2 - 2
ROM
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
FIO
0 - 3
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
FIO
2 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
SAM
2 - 2
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
FIO
2 - 0
SPA
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 1
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |