Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 0
NOV
73%
16%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
ASL
5 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1937 |
ROM
2 - 2
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1937 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1937 |
ROM
2 - 2
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
FIO
1 - 0
NOV
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |