Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
ROM
3 - 2
LEO
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
ACM
4 - 4
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
PAL
1 - 0
ROM
16%
20%
64%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
ROM
1 - 2
JUV
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
USA
1 - 6
ROM
41%
24%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
FIO
4 - 1
USA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
FIO
1 - 0
TRI
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 2
FIO
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |