Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 1
BRE
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1934 |
PAD
1 - 0
ROM
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
ROM
4 - 0
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
PAL
0 - 0
ROM
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
FIO
1 - 1
TOR
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1934 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
FIO
0 - 1
NAP
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 3
FIO
32%
24%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAD
67%
17%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |