Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ROM
4 - 0
CAS
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
BOL
3 - 0
ROM
68%
16%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
ROM
0 - 0
PRO
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
JUV
7 - 1
ROM
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
ROM
1 - 2
USA
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
TOR
1 - 0
FIO
50%
21%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
FIO
1 - 0
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
70%
15%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |