Champions League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-6
Roma vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 2
NAP
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
INT
5 - 3
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
BRE
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 0
CAG
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 3
SHA
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SHA
2 - 0
SPB
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SHA
4 - 0
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 3
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ZOR
1 - 3
SHA
27%
26%
48%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |