Europa League 1/32
Global 4-3
Roma vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ROM
5 - 2
PIA
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ROM
2 - 0
COM
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
ASS
2 - 1
ROM
9%
18%
74%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
EMP
2 - 3
ROM
20%
25%
55%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
ACP
1 - 3
ROM
3%
14%
83%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
EIN
1 - 0
FCN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
FCN
3 - 1
RTV
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
FCN
1 - 0
WAL
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
KFC
3 - 2
FCN
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
ULM
1 - 4
FCN
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |