Roma vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
INT
2 - 4
ROM
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
NAP
4 - 0
ROM
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
ROM
2 - 0
TOR
43%
30%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
CZJ
4 - 0
ROM
78%
16%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 1
ROM
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
FCC
0 - 1
PRG
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
FCC
2 - 0
COM
65%
23%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
FIO
1 - 1
FCC
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
FCC
1 - 0
TOR
30%
32%
38%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |