Roma vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
ROM
1 - 1
UDI
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
56%
26%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 1
ROM
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
FCC
0 - 1
FIO
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
INT
3 - 1
FCC
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAG
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCC
46%
30%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |