Roma vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ROM
2 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
ALT
2 - 3
ROM
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 0
NAP
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
CAG
1 - 5
ROM
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 3
PAR
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
50%
26%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
FCC
3 - 0
SPA
39%
24%
38%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
REG
0 - 0
FCC
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |