Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Roma vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
COM
0 - 1
ROM
32%
31%
37%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
46%
29%
25%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
AVE
0 - 1
ROM
42%
30%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAG
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
INT
2 - 2
ROM
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
ZWI
0 - 3
CZJ
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
CZJ
3 - 1
HAL
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
CZJ
2 - 0
SGD
34%
26%
41%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
BSG
3 - 5
CZJ
25%
28%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
CZJ
1 - 1
LOK
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |