Roma vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 1
ACM
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
ROM
3 - 0
FIO
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
TOR
0 - 0
ROM
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
UDI
1 - 0
ROM
60%
21%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
ROM
5 - 0
SAM
47%
23%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
FAN
5 - 2
UNI
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
FAN
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
FAN
2 - 0
SIR
61%
19%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
SAL
3 - 3
FAN
65%
19%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
FAN
2 - 3
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |