Europa League 1/32
Global 2-1
Roma vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
ROM
2 - 1
PIA
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
SAM
5 - 3
ROM
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
ROM
5 - 1
PES
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ROM
2 - 2
FIO
51%
27%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
NAP
0 - 2
ROM
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
AKA
1 - 1
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
DUN
2 - 2
BER
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
FKM
2 - 0
DUN
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1975 |
DUN
3 - 0
SVA
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1975 |
DUN
2 - 0
LPL
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |