Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
Roma vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
FIO
0 - 1
ROM
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
CSK
1 - 2
ROM
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
CAG
0 - 1
ROM
18%
28%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
CSK
1 - 2
ROM
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
CSK
2 - 1
STR
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
STR
1 - 0
CSK
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
SDL
2 - 0
CSK
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
CSK
1 - 0
SDL
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |