Roma vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
UDI
3 - 1
ROM
30%
26%
45%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 0
ROM
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ROM
0 - 4
INT
43%
26%
31%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SIE
1 - 0
ROM
17%
24%
59%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CHL
5 - 0
SUN
80%
15%
6%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
HUL
0 - 3
CHL
15%
25%
61%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CHL
0 - 1
LIV
59%
23%
17%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 0
ROM
68%
20%
12%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MID
0 - 5
CHL
19%
26%
55%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |