Roma vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
ROM
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 2
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
ROM
59%
22%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
3 - 1
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 1
BOL
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
CAG
3 - 0
CAT
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 0
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
LEC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |