Roma vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROM
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
VIC
2 - 1
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
USF
0 - 2
ROM
34%
25%
40%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ROM
2 - 3
ACM
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MOD
3 - 3
ROM
26%
25%
48%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
JUV
4 - 2
CAT
73%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
CAT
0 - 0
MAN
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
CAT
2 - 0
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAT
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
INT
4 - 1
CAT
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |