Roma vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
ROM
1 - 1
SAM
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
UDI
1 - 0
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
ROM
3 - 4
FIO
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 2
ROM
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1955 |
PRO
2 - 1
CAT
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
CAT
2 - 1
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
INT
3 - 0
CAT
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
ATL
4 - 0
CAT
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |