Roma vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROM
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
50%
21%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
TOR
2 - 1
ROM
47%
22%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
ACM
4 - 2
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 2
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRI
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
TOR
3 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
CAS
4 - 0
MOD
46%
22%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |