Roma vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
BOL
3 - 0
ROM
68%
16%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
ROM
0 - 0
PRO
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
JUV
7 - 1
ROM
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
ROM
1 - 2
USA
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
LEO
0 - 0
ROM
37%
23%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 0
GEN
19%
20%
61%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 3
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
CAS
6 - 2
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
JUV
3 - 2
CAS
85%
10%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |