Roma vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
4.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.6%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.3%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
1.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
BOL
3 - 3
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 0
PRO
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
TOR
1 - 4
ROM
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 1
NAP
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
GEN
9%
15%
76%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1930 |
INT
5 - 1
CAS
96%
3%
1%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOD
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +2 |